Self-prediction in Decision Theory and Artificial Intelligence Conference
The conference is organized in conjunction with the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) in Berkeley, CA, and the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (Cambridge). The local organizers are Dr Arif Ahmed and Prof. Huw Price. We are most grateful for financial assistance from the Analysis Trust and the Mind Association, as well as from MIRI.
It aims to bring together speakers from philosophy and computer science to discuss the special philosophical and practical problems that arise for decision-making agents whose confidence in the upshot of their current deliberation makes a difference to the deliberative process itself.
Provisional schedule
Wednesday 13th May
11.15 |
Arif Ahmed (Cambridge) Decision theory tutorial NB: this is a pre-conference introductory session for those who are new to decision theory |
13.15 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
Huw Price (Cambridge) What Ramsey got right |
16.00 |
Tea |
16.15 |
Julia Haas (Washington University in St Louis) Prospection and pre-commitment in non-ideal agents |
Thursday 14th May
9.00 |
Wlodek Rabinowicz (LSE) Wise Choice - Planning and Self-Prediction in Sequential Choice |
11.00 |
Coffee |
11.15 |
Kenny Easwaran (Texas) Towards a classification of Newcomb-style problems |
13.15 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
Preston Greene (Nanyang) Causal Unratifiability and the Simulation Argument |
16.00 |
Tea |
16.15 |
Joseph Halpern (Cornell) Language-based games |
Friday 15th May
9.00 |
Katie Steele (LSE) Dynamic coherence in decision-making |
11.00 |
Coffee |
11.15 |
Jenann Ismael (Arizona) Choice and the paradox of predictability |
13.15 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
H. Orri Stefánsson (Institute for Future Studies, Stockholm) Risk aversion and dynamic consistency |
16.15 |
Public lecture by Prof. Stuart Russell (CSER event) The long-term future of (artificial) intelligence Winstanley Lecture Theatre, Trinity College |
18.00 |
CSER drinks reception Trinity College |
19.15 |
CSER dinner (speakers only) Wordsworth Room, St John's College |
Saturday 16th May
9.00 |
Benja Fallenstein (MIRI) Vingean Reflection: Reliable Reasoning for Self-Improving Agents |
11.00 |
Coffee |
11.15 |
Reuben Stern (Wisconsin-Madison) Interventionist decision theory |
13.15 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
Nate Soares (MIRI) What is a what if? |
16.00 |
Tea |
16.15 |
Stuart Armstrong (Oxford) Anthropic decision theory |
19.15 |
Conference Dinner (all welcome) Venue: TBA |
Monday 18th May
9.00 |
Patrick LaVictoire (MIRI) Decision theory and the logic of provability |
11.00 |
Coffee |
11.15 |
Catrin Campbell-Moore (MCMP) Rational requirements and self-reference |
13.15 |
Lunch |
14.00 |
James Joyce (Michigan) The epistemology of choice |
16.00 |
Tea |
16.15 |
Alan Hajek (ANU) Deliberation welcomes prediction |
Tuesday 19th May
9.00 |
Stuart Russell (California) Deliberating about deliberating |
11.00 |
Coffee |
11.15 |
Vladimir Slepnev (Google) Models of decision-making based on logical counterfactuals |
13.15 |
Conference closes |
Registration
The registration deadline is now closed. There may be a few late spaces owing to late cancellations etc. - please contact Dr Ahmed for details ama24@cam.ac.uk.
Accommodation
We are unable to offer accommodation for the conference but if you would like further information about places to stay please see the University Accommodation Service website.